100% agree.
Whats the difference between the sites "Blog Format" which apparently died in 2023, and what is happening now?
(A neat thing about having tags for people I link to is that it's easier to spot when I become a repeat-linker.)
Do most people actually pay and support most newsletters? Wouldn't it be more stable income to have sponsors or commercial sponsors?
Why do people have to earn money on their hobbies?
Why a person can't just publish stuff for others to read?
Why should we be obligated to pay?
If someone has to make a living, maybe they should stick to a proper job not a hobby side gigs. Well I have a friend that makes living from basically making side gigs, but he is not looking to "make it big" - he just values freedom more and if he gets some money to just get by he is happy with it. He is not going to optimize conversion rate of paying supporters. But he is authentic that is why people who drop him some money do so - second he starts "revenue optimizing" I believe anyone who follows him will just drop it and move on.
I think many would like to live in that world. Good to see what an n=1 example of it looks like in practice.
I mean, at it's extreme, he wouldn't even be on the internet. But dialing that back, it could be as simple as a 'buy me a coffee' link.
> Why do people have to earn money on their hobbies?
> Why a person can't just publish stuff for others to read?
> Why should we be obligated to pay?
The Author:
> > Help support Res Obscura for its next 15 years…
Although you are not obligated to pay and nobody is forcing you, If this isn’t a problem for the author he wouldn’t be asking you for money.
But you do sound like this:
“Why do I have to pay for things?”
“Why can’t I consume things for free?”
Which sounds extremely entitled.
> If someone has to make a living, maybe they should stick to a proper job not a hobby side gigs.
This guy is an associate professor in history, not a working SWE or AI engineer like most people on HN.
Have you not considered that this person has a family to feed or rent to pay and just needs extra money?
This makes me sad because I really want to be a part of such a community, but I really don't like how bloated and centralized Substack is, and how much control they take away. Seems that's a requirement for community formation these days though?
Then Medium took off, and there was a vibe of blog posts being more authoritative if they were published on Medium. It was like the TED talks of blog posts. But also it mean that if you had a blog of your own and its contents were reposted on Medium, the latter would get more views.
I don't have the full picture of the whole issue. I suspect consumers generally want a single website to read stuff on, instead of the sometimes jarring style differences between blog sites - even if that means they have individual personality.
Sadly I think that’s true. People like consistency. Lets them more easily trust. It’s what makes Starbucks and McDonalds so popular even if they aren’t the best options in their category.
I think Medium succeeded at first because it allowed minimal personalization while still signaling to users “this is a legitimate article and not some rando on the web”.
Medium articles often look janky; if you’ve got a personal website you’ve at least figured out how to get that working, and if it looks good, that’s a positive signal!
Think myname@gmail.com vs me@myname.com
Many other social venues are gone too. If you're lucky, you can reach your audience on HN, but it's about the only remaining, successful aggregator of this type. Reddit has grown a lot more insular and many subreddits don't allow outgoing links. Where else do you go?
In this reality, the most practical push mechanism is email, but sending email to thousands of recipients is hard. You pretty much need to pay someone for the privilege if you want to have a reasonable success rate. Substack will do it for you for free, and it also lowers the friction because it gives visitors a familiar UI with a pre-filled address and no concern about phishing / spam / etc.
Beyond that, I don't think Substack is actually that much of a community. They built a good brand by attracting (buying) a bunch of high profile writers, then had an issue with neo-Nazis where they took controversial stances... I don't associate the domain with anything especially good or bad, not different from blogspot.com or wordpress.com. I have a special hatred for medium.com because almost everything over there is aggressively paywalled, but that's another story.
And yeah yeah, RSS, but the friction for RSS is much higher.
That's an X/Twitter/Facebook problem, not a social media problem. If you're on Mastodon, you'll see all of them.
Alone... look, I want Mastodon to be successful, but revealed preferences don't lie. Mastodon MAU is about 0.1% that of Twitter, down more than 60% from the peak.
Granted, not everyone I want to follow is on Mastodon, but many, many people I do want to follow are. More than I have time to follow. Indeed, many of the people I followed via blogs in the RSS days now are on Mastodon. It's essentially become my RSS reader, and the content is the same.
Ultimately, the constraint is my time - not the percentage of folks using Mastodon.
(And there's also the bridge with BlueSky, but it requires the BlueSky account to actively consent to the bridge).
Reminds me of the time I canceled my Netflix DVD subscription because I could get them for free at my library. Did the library have a collection as large as Netflix? Not even close! But did they have movies on my To Watch list? Yes!
I figured I'd resume the DVD subscription once I ran out of DVDs at the library.
More than a decade later, I still haven't run out. Every year they get more movies I want to watch than I have time for. Who cares that they're only 0.01% the size of Netflix?
We're talking about bloggers reaching their audience. The audience they can reach via Mastodon is much smaller than on Twitter, even if you factor in the consequences of algorithmic feeds.
It's also nice to see a working historian who posts to HN. (If there are any others, please raise your hand!) Our community is richer for the wide variety of non-engineering professions represented here, from medical doctors to truckers to woodworkers to pilots to farmers. Please keep posting, all of you.
I agree that Ben's writings on LLMs and how they impact the humanities/history are great reads. But I am also the perfect target market for that kind of discussion, dev by day amateur historian by night.
(I say that as a compliment, by the way. I love deep historical detail.)
Personally I think it absolutely will lead to major changes in historical research. The transcription and translation abilities of transformer models alone are already leading to significant changes and advances. For instance, I'm working on a post about new transformer based OCR tools like Leo that are geared specifically for historical research and led by historians (https://www.tryleo.ai - I'm not involved in the project, just an interested observer).
IMO AI tools will definitely still be used by a minority of historians in a 5-10 year horizon. Historical research is not like some STEM fields where there is a lab-base culture oriented around adopting new tech and finding applications quickly. It's a lot more of a solo, idiosyncratic process of personal research and that is partly why I like it, but it also means that uptake of new tools is much slower. That said, historians do use technology and digital tools all the time and are not inherently adverse to it. It's interesting reading history books from the 1970s, like the works of Lawrence Stone (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lawrence_Stone) and seeing the footnotes about how the data was encoded in punchcards and analyzed by mainframes. I expect we will be seeing history books by the end of the 2020s that use custom data analytics and tagging tools developed by the historians themselves using vibe coding.
Thanks for the question, will be writing more about this. Feel free to get in touch any time.
This is especially true in the age of LLM's (but the same can be applied to social media forums and the like). Sure, we should "just judge arguments on their merit" but there's something... suspicious. Like, a thought experiment: What if something came to a very reasonable seeming argument in 10 minutes, versus 10 hours? To me, I can't help but feel suspicious that I'm being tricked by some ad-hoc framing that is complete bogus in reality. "Obvious" conclusions can be obviously shaped with extremely hidden premises, things can be "locally logically correct" but horrible from a global view.
Maybe I'm way too cynical of seeing the same arguments over and over, people just stripping out their view of the elephant that they intuited in 5 minutes, then treating it as an authoritative slice, and stubbornly refusing to admit that that constraint, is well, a constraint, and not an "objective" slice. Like, yes, within your axioms and model, sure, but pretending like you found a grand unification in 5 minutes is absurd, and in practice people behave this way online.
(Point being that, okay, even if you don't buy that argument when it comes to LLM's, when it comes to a distributed internet setting, I feel my intuition there holds much stronger, for me at least. Even if everybody was truly an expert, argument JITing is still a problem).
Of course, in practice, when I do decide something is "valuable" enough for me to look at, I take apart the argument logically to the best of my ability, etc. but I've been filtering what to look at a lot more aggressively based on this criteria. And yes it's a bit circular, but I think I've realized that with a lot of really complicated wishy-washy things, well, they're hard for a reason :)
All that to say, is that yeah, the human element is important for me here :D. I find that, when it comes to consumption, if the person is a singular human, it's much harder to come to that issue. They at least have some semblance of consistence, and it's "real/emergent" in a sense. The more you learn about someone, the more they're truly unique. You can't just JIT a reductionist argument in 10 minutes.
IDK. Go small blogs!
Examples I would use without thinking for worthwhile-to-me content:
- "tip" options in the App Store
- 10/year
- 1/month
Similarly, I'm surprised these newsletter gatekeepers haven't implemented a tip jar where you put in $/year and it gets divided based on readership.I know this has been tried in other ways, but I think Substack and Medium could make this work.
The main difference is that using the legacy dollar rails is super annoying for small amounts, since there are multiple banks/companies on the path between you and the author you are trying to tip. And each of these intermediators needs their $$$ from you.
I've seen a bunch of publication with a "tip" button, but I suspect it's not worth the effort. Very few people pay in the first place, so a random one-off payment of $1, $10, or even the "unicorn" $100 is not worth standing up the infrastructure and dealing with the tax paperwork.
On the flip side, if you find 100 people who really like your content and are willing to substantially support it on an ongoing basis with a subscription, you end up with recurring revenue that makes it a better deal.