We form opinions about wages, prices, and housing from vibes, headlines, and anecdotes. The actual numbers are usually somewhere unexpected.

Off By is a daily game: five real economic statistics, you guess each one with a slider, then see how far off you were. Everyone plays the same questions on the same day.

Average player is off by 25%. I'm usually in that range too.

Free, no account needed.

Curious whether HN skews more accurate than average, and always looking for statistics that are surprising but airtight. If you know a good one, feel free to drop it in the comments.

  • spenceships 5 hours ago |
    fun, educational, and sticky. well done!
    • offby99 3 hours ago |
      Thanks! The "sticky" aspect is the hardest part, still haven't figured that one out yet
  • amadeuspagel 5 hours ago |
    I'm sure your statistics are airtight, but I think the context of your last question is a bit misleading:

    > In Germany, learning a trade pays you. In America, it costs you. What does the average US student graduate owing — before interest?

    In the german apprenticeship system, you're paid to work, starting with a low salary, because you're learning on the job. You're also going to school at the same time (one or two days per week), but you aren't paid for that.